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NFLPicks · Updated 7:45 AM ET

NFL picks today: Thursday, November 12.

Today’s best bets from Big Mike’s engine: fair odds, EV%, and the price worth taking on every prediction. Every pick is graded publicly; the full ranked slate lands in your texts and in the app.

The board hasn’t posted yet.Big Mike posts the morning slate before the day’s games. Check back after the morning run, or get it by text the moment it drops.

Today’s NFL slate · best prices

Full odds board ›
Commanders @ Giants8:15 PM ET · Nov 12
DraftKingsCOMMANDERS+120NovigGIANTS-122
Patriots @ Lions9:30 AM ET · Nov 15
NovigPATRIOTS+138NovigLIONS-141
Panthers @ Saints1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigPANTHERS+125NovigSAINTS-127
Bills @ Jets1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigBILLS-388NovigJETS+376
Vikings @ Packers1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigVIKINGS+150NovigPACKERS-153
Chiefs @ Falcons1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigCHIEFS-174NovigFALCONS+170
Dolphins @ Colts1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
ProphetXDOLPHINS+184NovigCOLTS-186
Jaguars @ Titans1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigJAGUARS-525NovigTITANS+488
Texans @ Browns1:00 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigTEXANS-212NovigBROWNS+203
Seahawks @ Raiders4:05 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigSEAHAWKS-264NovigRAIDERS+257
Rams @ Cardinals4:05 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigRAMS-426NovigCARDINALS+413
49ers @ Cowboys4:25 PM ET · Nov 15
Novig49ERS-199NovigCOWBOYS+194
Steelers @ Bengals8:20 PM ET · Nov 15
NovigSTEELERS+170NovigBENGALS-178
Chargers @ Ravens8:15 PM ET · Nov 16
NovigCHARGERS+190NovigRAVENS-199

Today’s NFL predictions · model vs market

Full board ›
Titans to winJaguars @ Titans · 1:00 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits+1 ptsMarket 17%Model 18%+EV 6.5%Novig+488
Titans to winJaguars @ Titans · 1:00 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits+1 ptsMarket 17%Model 18%+EV 6%ProphetX+485
Cardinals to winRams @ Cardinals · 4:05 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits+1 ptsMarket 19%Model 20%+EV 3.3%Novig+413
Jets to winBills @ Jets · 1:00 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits+1 ptsMarket 21%Model 22%+EV 3.1%Novig+376
Cardinals to winRams @ Cardinals · 4:05 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits0 ptsMarket 20%Model 20%+EV 2.7%FanDuel+410
Cowboys to win49ers @ Cowboys · 4:25 PM ET · Nov 15Chance it hits+1 ptsMarket 34%Model 35%+EV 2.5%Novig+194

Common questions

Are Big Mike's NFL picks free?

Today's NFL plays go to members only, by text and in the app, with the price worth taking and the book carrying the best number. Every play is posted here with its result once it's graded, so the record is public and the picks are not.

How are these NFL picks made?

Big Mike's engine pulls prices from major sportsbooks around the clock, strips the vig to compute the market's fair line, and flags bets where a book's posted price beats fair value: positive expected value (+EV). Picks are ranked by edge, not by feel.

What does the record include?

Every pick the engine has sent, graded win or loss with nothing deleted. The season and 30-day records on this page update as bets settle.

What are the best NFL bets today?

The best bets are the plays where a sportsbook's posted price beats the market's fair line by the widest margin. Members get today's NFL plays ranked by that edge, by text and in the app; this page shows how many there are and the graded record behind them.

How accurate are Big Mike's NFL predictions?

Judge them on the graded record, not a claim: every prediction that became a pick is settled publicly on the record page, wins and losses both, with closing-line value tracked alongside the raw results.

GET BIG MIKE

The full NFL slate, ranked and explained, in the app.

His whole board live, your bets graded against the close, and the best number on every play. 61.5% on the moneyline board · 808 picks graded in public.