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Start/Sit · Week 10

Still deciding on Sunday morning with two names and no reason to pick either?

Put them side by side. Each player’s week is simulated ten thousand times, and this tells you which one comes out ahead more often, how much of a gap that really is, and what the answer rests on. Free, no login, your league’s scoring.

Scoring
Rank by

Rank by the middle of each range. The default.

Add two players and this answers which one to start, with the probability behind it.

Try it: EXAMPLE

How the number is built

Each player’s week is simulated from his own game log, pulled toward what the sportsbooks are pricing him at, and adjusted for the defense he actually faces. The tool then plays those weeks against each other: “67 of 100 sims” means exactly that, not a confidence score. Floor and ceiling are the 15th and 85th percentiles of the same weeks, never a worst or best case, and a player with fewer than six games says so on his card. Read the methodology ›

This is a reference tool. Big Mike’s own card, graded in public since the first pick, lives on the record ›

The recordBig Mike · moneyline · graded in public
GET BIG MIKE

The compare tool ranks your two. He texts you the play.

His whole board live, your bets graded against the close, and the best number on every play. 61.5% on the moneyline board · 808 picks graded in public.